Today marks the 1 year anniversary from President Obama's Inauguration last year. Here are how the markets stand 1 year later and compared to presidents from 1901 until today. Data is as of Tuesday's closing prices.
Since the Close on President Obama's Inauguration Day on 1/20/2009:
- The Dow is up 35% (up 30% since day before inauguration)
- The S&P is up 43% (35% since day before inauguration)
- The NASDAQ Composite is up 61% (up 51% since day before inauguration)
- NYMEX Crude Oil is up 93%
- NYMEX RBOB NY Harbor Gasoline is up 76%
- COMEX Gold is up 33%
- US Dollar Index is down -10%
- CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is down -69%
>> See the Best / Worst Stocks of Obama's First Year Here
Comparing Obama to Past Presidents (Dow Performance Since 1901):
- Only FDR saw the Dow do better in his first year in office (up 96% from inauguration day 1933); 1 year after FDR's 2nd inauguration, the Dow fell 29% for the worst 1 year after an inauguration
- On average the Dow has gained 7.6% in the year after a Presidential Inauguration
- Up 64.5% of the time, with an avg gain of 19.47% when up
- Down 35.5% of the time, with an avg loss of -13.98% when down
- President that saw the Dow drop the most in his first year: Jimmy Carter (the Dow fell 19%)
- Democrats, on average, see bigger gains from inauguration day to one year later:
- Democrats see an average gain in the Dow of +12.5% one year after their inauguration, the number rises to 24.9% for their first term in office
- Republicans see an average gain in the Dow of +3.7% one year after their inauguration, the number falls to 1.5% for their first term in office
- Republicans, on average, see bigger gains in their 2nd year from inauguration day:
- Republicans see an average gain in the Dow of +7.8% in the 2nd year after their inauguration
- Democrats see an average loss in the Dow of -2.0% in the 2nd year after their inauguration
