- Facebook’s reported move into cryptocurrency could amount to the biggest catalyst for digital assets in their decade-long history, multiple crypto investors say.
- The social media giant is reportedly launching a digital asset to be used as a peer-to-peer payment within messenger apps. Analysts say that could legitimize the space, make it easier to buy other crypto assets like bitcoin, and motivate big financial institutions to get out of “wait and see” mode.
- “Facebook's efforts in the space has the potential to be one of, if not the most significant external catalysts for Bitcoin and crypto adoption in the technology's history,” says Spencer Bogart, general partner at Blockchain Capital.
The digital currency industry is fired up about Facebook's cryptocurrency efforts.
Bitcoin bulls say the tech giant's stamp of approval would legitimize the space, make it easier to buy other digital assets, and spark major financial institutions to get out of "wait and see" mode.
"Facebook's efforts in the space has the potential to be one of, if not the most significant external catalysts for bitcoin and crypto adoption in the technology's history," said Spencer Bogart, general partner at San Francisco-based investment firm Blockchain Capital.
Several news outlets including Bloomberg and the Wall Street Journal have reported that the company has been building its own digital currency for users to trade and spend through Facebook Messenger and WhatsApp. Some reports say Facebook is set to announce its plans this week, helping bitcoin rally above $9,000 to more than a one-year high. Facebook shares also jumped more than 3 percent Monday ahead of the expected announcement.
The social network hired former PayPal executive David Marcus to begin exploring opportunities with blockchain, the technology behind bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. As it approaches a public release, there are now more than 100 people working on the project, according to information on LinkedIn, and Facebook is still expanding the team. The Information reported that Facebook is also planning physical, ATM-like machines where users can buy the currency and that company employees will be able to collect salary in the form of new currency.
One side effect of Facebook's entrance to the market would be an easier entry point for the average person to buy cryptocurrencies.
Right now, bitcoin and others can be bought on exchanges like Coinbase or Gemini, or through some consumer finance apps like Square Cash and Robinhood. One of the biggest friction points is transitioning from dollars, or another global currency, to digital assets. But once someone is on-boarded to the world of digital assets, there's comparatively less hassle in moving from one asset like Facebook's, to another, like bitcoin, Blockchain Capital's Spencer Bogart said.
"Given Facebook's distribution, the seriousness of their crypto effort, and the caliber of the partners they're working with, they have a significant chance of onboarding much of the world to digital assets," he told CNBC.
Barry Silbert, an early bitcoin backer and founder and CEO Digital Currency Group, said the launch of Facebook's cryptocurrency "will go down in history as THE catalyst that propelled digital assets (including bitcoin) to mass global consumer adoption" and will be remembered as "just as important -- and transformative -- as the launch of the Netscape browser."
Bitcoin itself was formed as a way to bypass traditional financial rails. It first made international headlines after Tokyo-based bitcoin exchange Mt. Gox experienced a series of hacks and was later effectively frozen out of the U.S. banking system for regulatory issues and by 2013 shut down and filed for bankruptcy protection. Dark web marketplace Silk Road used bitcoin to facilitate transactions for guns, drugs and other illicit goods and was shut down in 2015. Bitcoin became known as the currency of choice for criminals, which is still how it's categorized by some who question its use in modern finance.
"Early bitcoin and crypto people are viewed as anarchists — many are anti government anti establishment with anti bank rhetoric — that's why the big financial institutions have been wary of investing and supporting cryptocurrency," said Jimmy Nguyen, president of the Bitcoin Association. "When you have a big list of institutional players come in, it does provide more legitimacy to this industry."
The first and most famous digital currency sparked mania among retail investors last year and brought it into mainstream finance. Bitcoin hit a high of nearly $20,000 at the end of 2017. Michael Moro, CEO of Genesis Global Trading, said the concept of cryptocurrency became increasingly normalized as that pool of traders grew. Investors are mostly past that "mental hurdle" and see bitcoin as less esoteric and less strange, he said.
"I think Facebook coming out with their own coin would make digital currency more familiar to people," Moro told CNBC in a phone interview.
Another question for both bitcoin investors and skeptics was its eventual mainstream use case. Bitcoin was founded as a peer-to-peer payment but has largely taken form as a store of value, or "digital gold" instead. In that sense, Moro said Facebook's cryptocurrency and bitcoin wouldn't compete, and "serve two different purposes."
"People have always questioned how mainstream adoption of something like this might come about. Having the retail base that Facebook has certainly helps that," Moro said. "It's bullish for cashless society in general."
Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek research also said the move legitimizes bitcoin. And for every company that's not a part of Facebook's so-called Libra project, "there are thousands who are not."
"What technology will they use? Bitcoin is one answer," Colas said. "The fact that Facebook et al even want to build a crypto currency validates the idea of a decentralized currency/payment system."
Others see this move as motivation for financial institutions to build the necessary rails to support crypto adoption. Fidelity was one of the early entrants by providing custody and trade execution on multiple exchanges for investors such as hedge funds and family offices with a new company called Fidelity Digital Asset Services.
"With Facebook and its partners making a concerted push into the space, these financial institutions and payments providers can no longer afford to take a wait-and-see approach, they need to prioritize the buildout of supporting infrastructure now," Blockchain Capital's Bogart said.
Part of the risk in cryptocurrency investing is how to prevent them from being hacked. Experts say that has largely barred institutions from embracing these digital assets. Facebook's crypto effort may end up "catalyzing" the build-out of infrastructure like wallets, custody and compliance among large financial institutions and payments providers, Bogart said.
U.S. regulators have been hesitant to approve cryptocurrency products like an exchange traded fund, often citing news of hacks and cryptocurrencies' potential for manipulation. SEC Chairman Jay Clayton said in November that he wants to see better market surveillance and custody for cryptocurrencies before being "comfortable" with a bitcoin ETF.
Meanwhile Facebook's ad model has come under criticism from Washington and privacy advocates for it uses detailed information about users. The social network and other tech giants like Google parent company Alphabet and Amazon are under fire from both sides of the political aisle ahead of the 2020 presidential campaign.
The bar is especially high when it comes to financial services and the old Silicon Valley adage "move fast and break things" doesn't fly with regulators, Genesis's Michael Moro said.
"Privacy and user data is of the utmost concern for anything related to Facebook," he said. "It's a hot button topic related to Facebook and I do think there will be questions around that data piece."
Although digital currency transactions can be anonymous, they can be tracked on a distributed ledger by the parties who have access. As a result, those with access to a potential Facebook project could have access to valuable data, said Nguyen, who is chair of the strategic advisory board at blockchain company nChain.
"It's complicated because this would create a system with a lot of data — If I were a regulator I would be questioning how they are going to treat the privacy of that data," he said. "Because it's Facebook they're going to be under more regulatory scrutiny."
— CNBC's Salvador Rodriguez contributed reporting.