Russia claims 'strategic initiative' in war; Ukraine running short of anti-aircraft guided missiles

Pictures show Ukrainian soldiers and destruction near the frontline as battle continues in the snow.

— Sophie Kiderlin

Jailed Putin critic and Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny shared details of his imprisonment in a post on Telegram on Tuesday.

Navalny said he was put in a punishment cell for bad behavior immediately after completing quarantine following his arrival in a new penal colony. Daily walks take place at 6:30 a.m. in a space measuring around eleven by three steps, he added.

"It has never been colder than -32°C," Navalny wrote. "There are few things as invigorating as a walk in Yamal at 6:30 in the morning. And what a wonderful fresh breeze blows into the yard, despite the concrete fence, wow!" he added in an ironic tone.

A spokesperson for Navalny said in December that the politician had been moved to a penal colony known as IK-3, or "the Polar Wolf" colony, in the Arctic region in northern Russia.

— Sophie Kiderlin

Jailed Putin critic and Russian opposition politician Alexei Navalny shared details of his imprisonment in a post on Telegram on Tuesday.

Navalny said he was put in a punishment cell for bad behavior immediately after completing quarantine following his arrival in a new penal colony. Daily walks take place at 6:30 a.m. in a space measuring around eleven by three steps, he added.

"It has never been colder than -32°C," Navalny wrote. "There are few things as invigorating as a walk in Yamal at 6:30 in the morning. And what a wonderful fresh breeze blows into the yard, despite the concrete fence, wow!" he added in an ironic tone.

A spokesperson for Navalny said in December that the politician had been moved to a penal colony known as IK-3, or "the Polar Wolf" colony, in the Arctic region in northern Russia.

— Sophie Kiderlin

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu told military officials Tuesday that Moscow's armed forces hold the initiative in Ukraine, and that the nation will achieve the goals of what it calls its "special military operation."

"We maintain the strategic initiative along the entire line of combat contact," Shoigu said during a conference call with the leadership of the Russian army, reported by news agency Tass.

The Russian army will continue to "consistently achieve the goals of the special military operation," he said.

In 2024, Shoigu said his priorities are to maintain the combat readiness of the nuclear triad at the highest level, increasing the production of a range of drones "from ultra-small to heavy attack," as well as introducing modern weapons and increasing the capabilities of satellite constellations — networks of strategically-placed satellites.

"We will continue to equip the army and navy with the most modern weapons, including those based on artificial intelligence technologies and new physical principles," Shoigu said, according to Google-translated comments reported by Russian state news agency Tass.

Russia's belief that it can prevail in Ukraine and win the war — although it's uncertain what would constitute a victory for Moscow — has been boosted by U.S. and European disputes over continued military funding for Kyiv and hopes that this year's U.S. election could herald a decline in support for Ukraine.

Shoigu claimed that Ukraine had lost 215,000 of personnel in 2023, as well as 28,000 units of military equipment. Accurate figures for losses are impossible, given the chaotic nature of collecting such data during wartime.

Neither Russia nor Ukraine discloses its losses, but both sides are estimated by U.S. intelligence to have lost around 100,000 personnel each, Reuters reports. Hundreds of thousands more are believed to have been wounded.

— Holly Ellyatt

A U.S. citizen has been detained in Russia on drugs charges which can carry up to 20 years in prison, a Moscow court said on Tuesday.

Moscow's Ostankino District Court said that on Jan. 6 Robert Romanov Woodland had been remanded in custody until March 5 on charges relating to the illegal acquisition or possession of drugs.

Russian internet news site Mash said that Woodland, 32, was charged with attempted large-scale production and sale of illegal drugs. He was detained on Jan. 5, Mash said.

A Facebook account in the name of Robert Woodland indicated that he had been working as an English teacher in Russia, and lived outside Moscow. It was not immediately possible to contact Woodland in Russian custody.

In 2020, Woodland, who was known to friends as "Rob", told a Russian newspaper that he was adopted in 1993 by U.S. citizens from an orphanage in Perm, in the Urals, and taken to live in the United States. He later returned to Russia.

He appears to have both Russian and American passports. The U.S. says that several of its citizens are wrongfully imprisoned in Russia, including Marine Corps veteran Paul Whelan and Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich.

The State Department has repeatedly warned all Americans to leave Russia immediately, citing the risk of wrongful detentions and harassment from Russian security services.

In Woodland's 2020 interview with the Komsomolskaya Pravda newspaper, he said that he had wonderful adopted parents in the United States. But he wanted to search for his genetic mother in Russia and was eventually reunited with her on Russian state television.

"Mama was crying and begging for forgiveness. But I forgave her before this meeting. I've never been angry at her. I simply always missed her very much."

"I was drawn to Russia with a tremendous force. And here I am. I have decided to stay in my motherland forever," he said in the interview.

— Reuters

The Kremlin said the Russian military will do everything to minimize and eliminate the threat of shelling of Russian cities by the Ukraine's armed forces, following repeated shelling of the border city of Belgorod.

"Our military will continue to do everything to first minimize this danger, and then completely get rid of it," the Kremlin's Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov told reporters, news agency Tass reported.

Peskov accused Ukraine of deliberately targeting civilian infrastructure, which it denies.

"The Kiev regime does not disdain shelling civilian objects, does not disdain the use of cluster munitions, shooting at the city center ... where there are no military installations," he said, according to comments published by news agency Tass.

Ukraine has not publicly commented on recent strikes on Belgorod, the most recent attack coming on Monday. Three people were injured in the attack, Belgorod's governor said. On Dec. 30, 25 people, including five children, were killed in missile strikes on Belgorod's city center. Several hundred residents have since been evacuated from the city.

When asked to comment on the White House's claims last week that Russia had used North Korean short-range ballistic missiles in Ukraine, Peskov said "we are leaving it with no comment."

"I just want to remind [you] that Ukraine is targeting our territories, like Belgorod, with missiles that are manufactured by foreign states, like Germany, France," NBC news reported him as saying.

— Holly Ellyatt

Ukraine has been repelling massive Russian cyber attacks on state payment systems for the second week in a row, senior lawmaker Danylo Hetmantsev said on Tuesday.

Hetmantsev, who is heading the parliamentary committee for finances, taxes and customs, said on the Telegram messaging app that Russian hackers tried to destroy systems vital for the Ukrainian budget payments, adding that the attacks were successfully repelled.

He also said that some minor access restrictions for users from abroad were possible.

— Reuters

Ukraine has a deficit of anti-aircraft guided missiles, Air Force spokesperson Yuriy Ihnat said on Tuesday.

"Ukraine has spent a considerable reserve on those three attacks that took place," Ihnat told Ukrainian TV, Reuters reported. "It is clear that there is a deficit of anti-aircraft guided missiles," he added.

Ukraine has been hit with a series of large-scale Russian attacks around the new year period, with Russia retaliating for several attacks on the border city of Belgorod. One attack on Dec. 30 killed 25 people, including five children. Russia's President Vladimir Putin vowed revenge for the attacks.

Russia has unleashed a wave of missile and drone strikes across a number of regions in Ukraine over the last week, with at least four civilians killed and 38 injured in attacks on Monday.

Ihnat commented on Monday that Russia was using ballistic missiles that Ukraine's air defense systems were not always able to intercept.

"A large number of ballistic missiles were launched by the enemy. These are both Kinzhals and missiles that hit the target on a ballistic trajectory - Kh-22, six ballistic Iskanders, S-300/S-400. All of these fly on a ballistic trajectory. It is necessary to understand that such targets can be shot down only by means that can do it, in particular, Patriot systems," Ihnat said, news agency Ukra News reported.

— Holly Ellyatt

Ukrainian shelling of the Russian border city of Belgorod overnight left three people injured, Russian officials said Tuesday.

"Yesterday evening the city of Belgorod was shelled again, people were injured. Currently there are three people in intensive care, all of them have undergone operations," Vyacheslav Gladkov, the governor of the Belgorod region, said on Telegram early Tuesday. The casualties were in a serious but stable condition, he said.

"In the morning we will conduct door-to-door inspections in those neighborhoods that were damaged by flying shrapnel. We will try to document the damage as quickly as possible and begin restoring it," he added. 

Ukraine has not publicly commented on the incident.

Belgorod has been attacked by Ukrainian forces a number of times over the new year. A missile and drone attack at the end of December killed 25 civilians, including five children, and led Russia to retaliate with missile attacks on Ukraine's major cities in the new year.

Gladkov posted last night that air defense systems over the Belgorod region had shot down 10 air targets on their approach to the city. Gladkov said the attack blew out windows in apartment buildings and that shrapnel and fires — usually caused by falling missile debris — damaged a number of vehicles.

Russia's Defense Ministry commented on Telegram Monday night that "attempts by the Kyiv regime to carry out a terrorist attack on targets on the territory of the Russian Federation were stopped. Unmanned aerial vehicles and enemy missiles were destroyed over the territory of the Bryansk and Belgorod regions."

CNBC was unable to verify the claims.

— Holly Ellyatt

Patches of the Soviet-era counter intelligence organisation "SMERSH" were seen on the uniforms of some operatives in an open-source image, the British Defense Ministry said in its latest intelligence update.

Russian lawmakers said late in 2023 that the organization was being re-launched, according to the ministry. SMERSH is an abbreviation of the words "death to spies" in Russian and was active from 1941-1946, it added.

"It is unclear whether the new name indicates any substantive new capabilities or role for Russia's CI-function, or whether it is merely a re-badging. However, it provides another example of how the Russian authorities consciously couch the Russia-Ukraine conflict in the spirit of the Second World War, and their strong focus on the supposed infiltration of external threats into the country," the update said.

— Sophie Kiderlin

EDITORS NOTE: This post contains graphic content and graphic images of death and destruction from a Russian missile strike.

Pictures show destruction in Ukrainian towns after being struck by Russian missile on Sunday and Monday.

— Sophie Kiderlin

Four people are dead and a further 38 injured in today's strikes on Ukraine, the country's National Police force said Monday.

"This morning, the enemy attacked the Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Khmelnytsky regions. As of 12:00 [local time], it is known about four dead. Residential buildings, infrastructure facilities, vehicles were damaged. Police officers work at the sites of hits, provide assistance to people, and document Russia's war crimes," the police said on Telegram.

"In the Dnipropetrovsk region, as a result of rocket attacks on the cities of Kryvyi Rih, Novomoskovsk and the village of Nadiya of Kryvyi Rih district, one person died and 28 were injured, including four children. Private houses and civil infrastructure were damaged."

The Russian army also hit the city of Zaporizhzhia with missiles, leaving five people injured. "In addition, two apartment buildings, a car and civil infrastructure were damaged," the police noted.

"As a result of the Russian attack on the cities of Kharkiv and Zmiiv, one person died, five civilians were injured, two private houses and a regional vocational education center were damaged."

Two people were killed and an apartment building was damaged in the city of Khmelnytskyi due to Russian rocket fire, the police added.

— Holly Ellyatt

More than 1.3 million signatures have currently been collected in support of the self-nomination of presidential candidate Vladimir Putin, a Russian election official told Russian media Monday.

Russian law states that self-nominated (or independent) candidates, as Putin is, need to collect 300,000 signatures from at least 40 Russian regions in order to register as a candidate for elections, with no more than 7,500 signatures to be collected in any one region. Putin passed the signature threshold in late December.

Putin, who has been prime minister or president of Russia since late 1999, announced last month that he would stand for another five-year term in office. He is expected to win the March 15-17 presidential election given the lack of non-systemic opposition parties or politicians in Russia.

"To date, in support of our candidate for the post of President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin, we have collected more than 1.3 million signatures," the co-chair of the presidential election headquarters, Maryana Lysenko, told Russian media Monday, news agency TASS reported.

"You know that the start of collecting signatures [in support of Putin] started on December 23, according to the law it will be carried out until the end of January and it continues now," Lysenko said.

— Holly Ellyatt

Russia unleashes missile, drone attacks across Ukraine; Putin courts families of dead servicemen