Amazon is expected to report its fourth straight quarter of over $1 billion in profits

Key Points
  • Amazon is expected to report third-quarter profit of $3.09 per share, or roughly $1.5 billion.
  • That would make it the fourth straight quarter that Amazon has topped $1 billion in profit.
  • Amazon's profit expansion is primarily driven by the growth of its high-margin businesses, like its cloud, advertising and third-party seller services.
Here's what seven experts think about Amazon's earnings

Amazon is expected to show another huge jump in profits when it reports third-quarter earnings after Thursday's closing bell, despite heavy investments ahead of the holiday season.

The company is expected to report third-quarter profit of $3.09 per share, or roughly $1.5 billion, according to FactSet. That would be up from the 52 cents per share reported a year earlier, and the fourth straight quarter that Amazon has topped $1 billion in profit — a remarkable milestone for a company once known for losing money because of its heavy investments.

The widening profits are largely driven by the growth of Amazon's high-margin businesses, including its cloud, advertising and third-party seller services. Investors will keep a close eye on how those business units performed in the third quarter.

"Focus will likely remain on the strength of Amazon's high margin business lines that are now driving robust margin expansion," Evercore analyst Anthony DiClemente wrote in a note published earlier this month.

Here's what Wall Street is expecting, based on a FactSet consensus:

  • EPS: $3.09 vs. 52 cents per share last year
  • Revenue: $57.1 billion vs. $43.7 billion last year
  • AWS revenue: $6.7 billion vs. $4.6 billion last year

The third quarter included Prime Day, one of Amazon's biggest sales days of the year. Despite facing major glitches across its site, Amazon announced that this year's Prime Day had record sales, becoming the largest shopping event in company history.

It also unveiled a bunch of new hardware devices during the quarter, including an Alexa-powered microwave and home audio systems, although many of the products did not go on sale during the quarter. With Whole Foods, Amazon continued to expand its grocery delivery service, which is now available in over 60 cities.

A minimum wage hike for its hourly workers, which was announced earlier in October, will not be included in the third-quarter results because it goes in effect on Nov. 1. Investors will look to fourth-quarter guidance to see what kind of impact the wage increase will have on Amazon's overall business.

Here are some of the most important topics that could get discussed during the earnings call:

  • High-margin businesses: Amazon is seeing greater contributions from its high-margin businesses, such as its cloud, advertising and third-party seller services, which is helping expand profitability to record levels. Investors are particularly interested in Amazon's advertising business, which some estimate to be on pace for $10 billion in annual revenue.
  • Fourth-quarter forecast: The fourth quarter is the biggest sales period for Amazon because of the holidays. But the all-important quarter could see a cut in revenue forecast because of the minimum wage increase announced this month, as well as an accounting rule change that will likely reduce Prime sales figures.
  • Physical stores: Amazon has doubled down on its physical store expansion in recent months, opening multiple cashierless Go stores and the first 4-Star store. The third-quarter also marks the first full year since Whole Foods' business has been included in the company's earnings. Amazon now breaks out physical store sales, but most of it comes from Whole Foods.

On Wednesday, Amazon shares lost nearly 6 percent amidst a broad market sell-off during normal trading, but recovered about 1.5 percent after hours following solid earnings reports from tech bellwether Microsoft and techcentric carmaker Tesla. Amazon was up 1.9 percent in Thursday's premarket.

Amazon and Alphabet to report earnings today